Monday, June 29, 2009

Bump, Set, Spike

Somehow, over the last few years the idea that the earth is under massive climate change has become hugely accepted despite solid scientific evidence. Built on that theory is the assumption that humans are the primary cause and therefore we must makes changes to prevent and reverse it.

Because I am a thinking person I appreciate evidence when it comes to someone else spending my money. Facts have been provided to demonstrate global warming. However, a respectable interpretation of those facts has not occurred.

My primary argument against global warming is substantial evidence. The Naturalist approach to science says that what we observe now is all there is and that those things we observe now can be used to prove things in the past. While that appears to make sense, answer this questions: Say you look in your sink and see 10 ice cubes melting. Thirty minutes later you see there are only 5 left. Does that mean that factually there were 20 ice cubes in your sink one hour ago? Nope, because there are so many things that could have changed (i.e. variables). So when we see a change in average global climates over the last 50 or 100 years of 1 or 2 degrees, does that mean it has been occurring for the last 500 years steadily? Or does it mean that it will continue for the next 100 years?

More importantly, can we demonstrate completely that we are causing the change at all? I think this is a fair question because our president is leading a charge to change our entire economy based on these "facts." This point must be taken in perspective. The same scientists that are promoting global warming would, in a majority, also claim evolution and Big Bang theory are correct (I completely disagree, but again frame of reference is important here). If that is the case, can we really believe that humans, who have been alive for less than .01 percent of the earth's history, which included a superheated beginning, followed by a massive cooling period, and cycles of being in and out of ice ages, are the cause of a TWO DEGREE change in the average global temps?

With all that said, I'm amazed that something so weakly supported is now going to be the basis of billions of dollars of spending and hopeful economic growth. Talk about a house build on sinking sand.

2 comments:

  1. I love the ice cube analogy. Great visual. Thanks for the food for thought.

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  2. thanks. i feel pretty helpless to do anything about any of it, though. but then Candi read thessalonians this morning and i was hit by Paul urging us to live a quiet life. maybe i should take my eyes off the horizon and concern myself with things closer to home.

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